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    Reddit (RDDT)

    RDDT Q2 2025: Ad ROAS Rises; Costs Jump 38% Pressuring Margins

    Reported on Aug 1, 2025 (After Market Close)
    Pre-Earnings Price$160.59Last close (Jul 31, 2025)
    Post-Earnings Price$182.00Open (Aug 1, 2025)
    Price Change
    $21.41(+13.33%)
    • Enhanced Advertising Innovations: The Q&A highlighted that Reddit’s evolving ad solutions—such as Dynamic Product Ads, auto bidding, and integration with third‐party tools (e.g., Smartly)—are driving improved ROAS and expanding the advertiser base, which could lead to sustainable revenue growth.
    • Unified Search & User Engagement: Management’s plans to integrate Reddit’s core search with the Reddit Answers feature and to simplify onboarding (leveraging lessons from Reddit Lite tests) aim to boost user engagement and retention, providing a strong growth driver for both ad revenue and organic user growth.
    • Unique Content Advantage in the AI Era: The discussion underscored Reddit’s role as a key, unique data source for training LLMs—being the most cited domain in the space—which gives Reddit a differentiated competitive moat with potential long-term benefits from data licensing and increased external demand.
    • High cost growth and margin pressure: Q&A participants highlighted that variable expenses such as sales, marketing, and hiring have grown aggressively (e.g., cost growth in Q2 reached the high 30% range with sequential hiring of over 100 people), which raises concerns that if these investments do not translate into proportional revenue growth, margins may face significant pressure.
    • Execution risk in international expansion: Management acknowledged that international growth relies heavily on machine translation and building self-sustaining local communities. The challenge of effectively localizing content and moderator recruitment presents risks that the international strategy may underperform compared to domestic results.
    • Uncertainty around AI/data licensing partnerships: During the Q&A, executives stated it is still “too soon to say” what the structure of future partnerships for licensing Reddit’s data to AI/LLM players might look like. Such uncertainty could impact revenue expectations if competitors secure more advantageous or exclusive deals in a rapidly evolving market.
    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    Revenue

    Q3 2025

    Estimated at $410M–$430M with 50% YoY growth

    Estimated at $535M–$545M with 55% YoY growth

    raised

    Adjusted EBITDA

    Q3 2025

    Estimated at $110M–$130M

    Estimated at $185M–$195M

    raised

    Adjusted EBITDA Margin

    Q3 2025

    no prior guidance [N/A]

    Expected to be 35% at the midpoint

    no prior guidance

    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    Enhanced Advertising Innovations

    Q1 2025 discussions focused on beta‐testing of Dynamic Product Ads, improvements in ML models, auto bidding, and the launch of new integrations (e.g., Pixel with Google Tag Manager). In Q4 2024 and Q3 2024, there was emphasis on community intelligence, ad stack improvements, and early auto bidding adoption.

    Q2 2025 features a shift as Dynamic Product Ads are now generally available, along with the launch of a Smartly integration, new AI-powered community intelligence tools, and creative automation via Memorable AI.

    Evolved from early-stage experiments and beta tests to broad adoption with enhanced automation and usability improvements.

    Unified Search Integration

    Q1 2025 introduced integration efforts with Reddit Answers to enhance search, while Q4 2024 laid out a vision for a unified search platform and Q3 2024 mentioned the importance of on-platform search for user acquisition.

    Q2 2025 emphasizes a unified search experience with Reddit Answers integrated directly in the core search interface, featuring a prominently displayed, personalized search box and broader integration across the app.

    Deepened integration and personalization—from initial experiments to a seamless, AI-powered core search experience that drives engagement.

    International Expansion and Machine Translation

    Q1 2025 discussed machine translation in 13 languages and highlighted attractive growth rates in key international markets, with Q4 2024 and Q3 2024 emphasizing community localization and rapid international DAU growth through language innovations.

    Q2 2025 highlights a global push with machine translation now live in 23 languages, enhanced moderator recruitment, and further investments in localization to unlock international growth.

    Expansion is scaling with deeper language support and localization efforts, building on earlier growth experiments to tap broader global markets.

    Unique Content Advantage in the AI Era and Data Licensing

    Q1 2025 underscored the authenticity of Reddit’s human-generated content, while Q4 2024 and Q3 2024 described the underdeveloped data licensing opportunity evolving into a competitive moat through valuable, unique content for AI training.

    Q2 2025 positions Reddit’s content as a strategic asset in the AI era, emphasizing that its corpus is now seen as highly valuable—with Reddit being the most cited domain for AI—and shifting sentiment to a robust competitive moat.

    A clear shift from seeing unique content as an underdeveloped asset to recognizing it as a critical, competitive moat that bolsters data licensing and AI initiatives.

    Cost Growth, Margin Pressure, and Monetization Efficiency Challenges

    Q1 2025 highlighted disciplined cost management with cost growth outpaced by revenue and modest ARPU concerns, while Q4 2024 and Q3 2024 provided detailed discussions on cost adjustments, margin expansions, and ARPU challenges across domestic and international markets.

    In Q2 2025, costs increased 38% YoY, yet margins improved with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 33% and ARPU up 47% YoY—though absolute ARPU remains low—reflecting efforts to boost monetization efficiency while managing higher costs.

    Continued focus on balancing higher cost growth with strong margin expansion; ARPU remains an area with notable headroom despite overall revenue improvements.

    Dependence on External Search Algorithms

    Q1 2025 acknowledged bumps from Google algorithm changes with an emphasis on long-term resilience, Q4 2024 detailed volatility affecting logged‐out user traffic, and Q3 2024 noted reliance on Google for both targeted and incidental traffic.

    Q2 2025 continued to see volatility from Google search as a headwind, but stressed that the unique “Reddit perspective” drives user intent and that conversion strategies are in place to mitigate such fluctuations.

    Ongoing vulnerability to external algorithm changes persists, but resiliency is maintained through strong brand value and strategies to turn search traffic into loyal users.

    Operational Scalability and AI-Driven Moderation Efficiency

    Q1 2025 showcased robust scalability with strong EBITDA, operating cash flow, and initial AI-driven moderator support to reduce administrative burdens, while Q3/Q4 2024 had limited focus on these topics.

    Q2 2025 reports record revenue growth (78% YoY) with high incremental EBITDA margins and further investments in AI tools that streamline moderator recruitment and reduce operational friction.

    Emerging as a strategic focus, building upon earlier financial successes by leveraging AI to enhance both operational scalability and moderator efficiency.

    Stock-Based Compensation Impact on Profitability

    Q1 2025 reported SBC at $107M (27% of revenue) with improvements from prior high catch-up expenses; Q4 2024 recounted a significant catch-up charge and higher SBC due to performance grants; Q3 2024 noted SBC at 24% of revenue with minimal emphasis on its negative impact.

    Q2 2025 shows a reduction in SBC expenses to $95M (23% of revenue), reflecting a continued trend of a lower and less disruptive impact on profitability.

    The impact of SBC is decreasing and normalizing, with the company placing less emphasis on it as a drag on profitability compared to earlier periods.

    1. Ad Performance
      Q: How does ROAS compare to peers?
      A: Management noted that ROAS remains competitive with advertisers increasingly shifting budgets toward Reddit due to strong performance, reflecting solid returns and integrated growth between organic and paid channels.

    2. US User Trends
      Q: How are US user trends evolving?
      A: Leadership explained that after a slow start in April, product improvements and targeted marketing boosted US daily active users, setting a strong foundation for continued growth into Q3.

    3. International Expansion
      Q: How is international growth progressing?
      A: The team is leveraging machine translation and local moderator outreach to foster localized communities and enhance personalization, positioning international markets for sustainable growth.

    4. Sales & Marketing Spend
      Q: What drove the increased marketing spend?
      A: Management highlighted that higher variable costs, headcount increases, and deliberate investments in both brand building and performance initiatives drove the sequential rise in marketing spend.

    5. User Mix & Search
      Q: What’s the balance between scrollers and seekers?
      A: Leaders emphasized that users naturally act as both scrollers and seekers, with ongoing integration of search capabilities expected to enhance overall engagement and retention.

    6. Search & Advertiser Relations
      Q: How is the rollout of Reddit Answers progressing?
      A: The executives described plans to unify Reddit search with Answers, streamlining user experience while deepening global advertiser relationships through dedicated global account teams.

    7. Data Licensing & Marketing
      Q: How critical is Reddit data for AI and marketing?
      A: Management underscored that Reddit’s unique human-generated content is essential for LLM training and remains a strong asset as early international marketing initiatives yield encouraging results.

    8. ML & Licensing Terms
      Q: Could Reddit data be exclusive to one LLM?
      A: The response was cautious, noting it’s too early to consider exclusive licensing, though Reddit’s growing data importance keeps strategic options open for the future.

    9. Google & AI Impact
      Q: How will Google and AI mode affect traffic?
      A: The leadership maintained that despite evolving Google features and AI trends, Reddit’s renowned corpus and strong brand will continue driving significant traffic and user engagement.

    10. Reddit Lite International
      Q: What learnings emerged from Reddit Lite tests?
      A: The experiment demonstrated that a simplified, visually cleaner interface significantly boosts engagement, with these improvements now being integrated into the main app for both domestic and international rollout.

    Research analysts covering Reddit.